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Signal report

Why This Forecast Works

Evidence researched through 2026-09-22. Unknown fields are intentionally not guessed.

  • Historical appearances: 2022.
  • Research-only library record. It is intentionally excluded from scoring and the public Top 100 until current evidence is reviewed.
  • Evidence researched through 2026-09-22. Unknown fields are intentionally not guessed.
  • Batch 05 research cutoff: 2026-09-22.
  • Atlanta timing: NONE_FOUND
  • Research Batch 04 (PARTIAL): Management, label, and current album cycle resolved; the image-credit gap remains explicit.
  • Research Batch 04 remaining fields: image_credit.

Forecast factors

Pressure Breakdown

This is the weighted case behind the ranking. It explains where the Forecast Index comes from without pretending the number is a literal probability.

  • Agency relationship+4

    CAA has a meaningful recent Shaky/C3 footprint.

  • Active Cycle+2

    Correlated activity evidence is bundled with diminishing returns: release (2).

  • Shaky genre fit+3

    Strong Shaky-compatible alternative/rock/indie fit.

  • Returner sweet spot+3

    Francis of Delirium last played in 2022, which sits in the ideal return window.

Forecast Index: 12

Routing map

Festival Fronts

  • No festival fronts are currently on the desk.

Release climate

Music Weather

Album

Run, Run Pure Beauty

Status

2026 Album

Release

Not announced

2027 Touring

No confirmed 2027 North American tour is currently on the desk

Run, Run Pure Beauty

Forecast Impact

+0 release-climate points

This profile does not currently receive any verified release-climate points.

  • No tour conditions are currently on the desk.

Historical conditions

Shaky History

Past appearances2022

Receipts

Sources

These are the receipts behind this ranking. Each source is tagged by what it contributes to the case.