Genre Fit
3/3
Current conditions
#38 Gang of Youths
Wildcard • 11°TEMPERATURE
Gang of Youths grade out well because of agency relationship, shaky genre fit, returner sweet spot. There are no major penalty conditions dragging the profile down at the moment.
Agency
CAALast Shaky
2022Festival Fronts
0Booking outlook
Strong Shaky-compatible alternative/rock/indie fit.
Gang of Youths are an Australian alternative-rock band led by David Le’aupepe, known for emotionally expansive songwriting and large, orchestral live arrangements. Albums such as Go Farther in Lightness and angel in realtime. established them as one of Australia’s major modern rock acts. In 2026 the band returned to the stage and publicly referenced performing new music, creating a meaningful creative-cycle condition. WME handles North America and Australia/New Zealand, with CAA covering other territories. They first played Shaky in 2022.
Signal report
Why This Forecast Works
Evidence researched through 2026-09-22. Unknown fields are intentionally not guessed.
- Historical appearances: 2022.
- Research-only library record. It is intentionally excluded from scoring and the public Top 100 until current evidence is reviewed.
- Evidence researched through 2026-09-22. Unknown fields are intentionally not guessed.
- Batch 05 research cutoff: 2026-09-22.
- Atlanta timing: NONE_FOUND
- Research Batch 02 (PARTIAL): Management and label information were resolved; the current new-era campaign, new-material reporting, and concrete 2026 live activity were evaluated through existing fields. The unsupported medium_high confidence was conservatively normalized to medium.
- Research Batch 02 remaining fields: image_credit.
Forecast factors
Pressure Breakdown
This is the weighted case behind the ranking. It explains where the Forecast Index comes from without pretending the number is a literal probability.
- Agency relationship+4
CAA has a meaningful recent Shaky/C3 footprint.
- Active Cycle+1
Correlated activity evidence is bundled with diminishing returns: release (1).
- Shaky genre fit+3
Strong Shaky-compatible alternative/rock/indie fit.
- Returner sweet spot+3
Gang of Youths last played in 2022, which sits in the ideal return window.
Forecast Index: 11
Routing map
Festival Fronts
- No festival fronts are currently on the desk.
Release climate
Music Weather
Album
New music being performed in 2026Status
Album in DevelopmentRelease
Not announced2027 Touring
No confirmed 2027 North American tour is currently on the deskNME reports Things Take Time as the first new original material since 2022 and discusses material for a long-awaited fourth studio album.
Forecast Impact
+1 release-climate points
Gang of Youths carry verified new-music momentum, which helps explain why the forecast keeps them active in the 2027 booking conversation.
- World Tour (2026)Reported
Sold-out 2026 Australian return and late-2026 Paris, Amsterdam, Manchester, and London dates were reported alongside additional anticipated 2027 performances.
Historical conditions
Shaky History
Receipts
Sources
These are the receipts behind this ranking. Each source is tagged by what it contributes to the case.
SHAKY//27 seed brief and editorial methodology Shaky Knees historical lineup archive Gang of Youths — historical research batch 05 (booking) Gang of Youths — historical research batch 05 (release) Gang of Youths — historical research batch 05 (routing) Gang of Youths — historical research batch 05 (image) Gang of Youths — Research Batch 02 management company Gang of Youths — Research Batch 02 record label Gang of Youths — Research Batch 02 campaign activity