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Green Day promotional artist image.

Current conditions

#45 Green Day

Wildcard • 11°TEMPERATURE

Green Day grade out well because of agency relationship, shaky genre fit, returner sweet spot. There are no major penalty conditions dragging the profile down at the moment.

Listen on YouTube Music

Genre Fit

3/3

Agency

CAA

Last Shaky

2022

Festival Fronts

0

Booking outlook

Strong Shaky-compatible alternative/rock/indie fit.

Artist Bio

Green Day is a rock/pop artist from East Bay, California, USA, formed in 1987. The project’s recorded work is commonly associated with punk rock. Its catalog has been associated with Reprise Records. The available discography runs from 39/Smooth (1990) to I'm Never Gonna R.I.P. (2026). Its profile belongs in the Shaky Forecast library as part of the wider map of artists under current and historical consideration.

Signal report

Why This Forecast Works

Evidence researched through 2026-09-22. Unknown fields are intentionally not guessed.

  • Historical appearances: 2022.
  • Research-only library record. It is intentionally excluded from scoring and the public Top 100 until current evidence is reviewed.
  • Evidence researched through 2026-09-22. Unknown fields are intentionally not guessed.
  • Batch 05 research cutoff: 2026-09-22.
  • Atlanta timing: NONE_FOUND
  • Current release/touring/festival research completed. Positive conditions are source-backed; absence statements mean no qualifying current/2027 evidence was verified in this pass.
  • Current-activity batch 01 research gaps now: Verify image credit/rights metadata; Verify management; Verify record label.
  • Research Batch 01 (PARTIAL): Management, label, and current catalog/media activity were reviewed. The existing local image still needs rights-credit verification.
  • Research Batch 01 remaining fields: image_credit.

Forecast factors

Pressure Breakdown

This is the weighted case behind the ranking. It explains where the Forecast Index comes from without pretending the number is a literal probability.

  • Agency relationship+4

    CAA has a meaningful recent Shaky/C3 footprint.

  • Active Cycle+1

    Correlated activity evidence is bundled with diminishing returns: release (1).

  • Shaky genre fit+3

    Strong Shaky-compatible alternative/rock/indie fit.

  • Returner sweet spot+3

    Green Day last played in 2022, which sits in the ideal return window.

Forecast Index: 11

Routing map

Festival Fronts

  • No festival fronts are currently on the desk.

Release climate

Music Weather

Album

Nimrods Original Soundtrack

Status

2026 Album

Release

Nimrods Original Soundtrack

2027 Touring

No confirmed 2027 North American tour is currently on the desk

Nimrods is in theaters and the official store offers the current Nimrods Original Soundtrack in multiple formats.

Forecast Impact

+0 release-climate points

This profile does not currently receive any verified release-climate points.

Green Day — Research Batch 01 release evidence
  • No tour conditions are currently on the desk.

Historical conditions

Shaky History

Past appearances2022

Receipts

Sources

These are the receipts behind this ranking. Each source is tagged by what it contributes to the case.