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Signal report

Why This Forecast Works

A core Shaky-era pop-punk fit whose unfulfilled 2026 booking preserves current festival interest without a repeat-year drag.

  • 2026 — BOOKED / ILLNESS WITHDRAWAL / DID NOT PERFORM. No completed-appearance penalty is applied.
  • Research Batch 06 (COMPLETE): Territorial booking, management, and label are resolved. The supplied MEDIUM_HIGH anniversary-tour label has no canonical campaign enum and is retained as sourced activity rather than misclassified as a new studio-album cycle.
  • Research Batch 06: listed research gaps resolved.

Forecast factors

Pressure Breakdown

This is the weighted case behind the ranking. It explains where the Forecast Index comes from without pretending the number is a literal probability.

  • Shaky Knees 2026 early-cycle signal+4

    Booked for Shaky Knees 2026 but withdrew because of illness and did not perform; this is not a completed appearance.

  • Shaky genre fit+3

    The project’s modern alternative, rock, punk, and adjacent festival-fit criteria support a defensible SHAKY FORECAST 27 evaluation.

  • Fresh booking opportunity+2

    Never playing Shaky keeps the booking fresh without losing genre fit.

Forecast Index: 9

Routing map

Festival Fronts

  • No festival fronts are currently on the desk.

Release climate

Music Weather

Album

No title tracked

Status

No Active Album Cycle

Release

Not announced

2027 Touring

No confirmed 2027 North American tour is currently on the desk

September 21 review found no confirmed or expected 2027 studio-release climate to index.

Forecast Impact

+0 release-climate points

This profile does not currently receive any verified release-climate points.

  • North American Tour (2026)Confirmed

    The official Bleed American 25th Anniversary Tour is active in 2026 with rotating support.

Historical conditions

Shaky History

Never playedShaky Knees

Receipts

Sources

These are the receipts behind this ranking. Each source is tagged by what it contributes to the case.