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St. Paul & The Broken Bones promotional artist image.

Current conditions

#69 St. Paul & The Broken Bones

Wildcard • 11°TEMPERATURE

St. Paul & The Broken Bones grade out well because of active cycle, returner sweet spot, shaky genre fit. There are no major penalty conditions dragging the profile down at the moment.

Listen on YouTube Music

Genre Fit

2/3

Agency

High Road Touring (North/South America, Australia, Asia); Free Trade Agency (UK/Europe)

Last Shaky

2016

Festival Fronts

0

Booking outlook

Historical Shaky Knees performer awaiting current artist, touring, and genre-fit research.

Artist Bio

St. Paul & The Broken Bones is a soul artist from Birmingham, Alabama, USA, formed in 2012. The project’s recorded work is commonly associated with soul. The available discography runs from Greetings From St. Paul & The Broken Bones (2013) to St. Paul & The Broken Bones (2025). Its profile belongs in the Shaky Forecast library as part of the wider map of artists under current and historical consideration.

Signal report

Why This Forecast Works

Researched through 2026-09-22. Unknown or unverified fields are intentionally not guessed.

  • Historical appearances: 2016.
  • Research-only library record. It is intentionally excluded from scoring and the public Top 100 until current evidence is reviewed.
  • Researched through 2026-09-22. Unknown or unverified fields are intentionally not guessed.
  • Batch 10 research cutoff: 2026-09-22.
  • Atlanta timing: Atlanta arena support date Oct. 20, 2026; timing/market condition.
  • Research Batch 13 (PARTIAL): Representation and label resolved; forward 2027 routing added. Exact image credit remains open.
  • Research Batch 13 remaining fields: image_credit.

Forecast factors

Pressure Breakdown

This is the weighted case behind the ranking. It explains where the Forecast Index comes from without pretending the number is a literal probability.

  • Active Cycle+4

    Correlated activity evidence is bundled with diminishing returns: release (3), touring (1).

  • Shaky genre fit+2

    Historical Shaky Knees performer awaiting current artist, touring, and genre-fit research.

  • Returner sweet spot+3

    St. Paul & The Broken Bones last played in 2016, which sits in the ideal return window.

  • Southeast tour window+2

    The touring footprint lines up with the likely Shaky season.

Forecast Index: 11

Routing map

Festival Fronts

  • No festival fronts are currently on the desk.

Release climate

Music Weather

Album

Proxy EP

Status

2026 Album

Release

Sep 18, 2026

2027 Touring

No confirmed 2027 North American tour is currently on the desk

Proxy EP was released September 18, 2026 via Oasis Pizza Records/Thirty Tigers, while current official routing extends into April 2027.

Forecast Impact

+1 release-climate points

St. Paul & The Broken Bones carry verified new-music momentum, which helps explain why the forecast keeps them active in the 2027 booking conversation.

St. Paul & The Broken Bones — Research Batch 13 release
  • Southeast Window (2027)Confirmed

    Confirmed Mobile, Alabama show Mar. 26, 2027; active 2026 arena support cycle.

  • World Tour (2027)Confirmed

    Official site lists January-April 2027 dates, including Florida and Alabama shows plus Boone, NC.

Historical conditions

Shaky History

Past appearances2016

Receipts

Sources

These are the receipts behind this ranking. Each source is tagged by what it contributes to the case.