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The Decemberists promotional artist image.

Current conditions

#47 The Decemberists

Wildcard • 11°TEMPERATURE

The Decemberists grade out well because of agency relationship, shaky genre fit, returner sweet spot. There are no major penalty conditions dragging the profile down at the moment.

Listen on YouTube Music

Genre Fit

3/3

Agency

CAA

Last Shaky

2016

Festival Fronts

0

Booking outlook

Historical Shaky Knees performer awaiting current artist, touring, and genre-fit research.

Artist Bio

The Decemberists is a folk artist from Portland, USA, formed in 2000. The project’s recorded work is commonly associated with indie. The available discography runs from 5 Songs (2001) to As It Ever Was, So It Will Be Again (2024). Its profile belongs in the Shaky Forecast library as part of the wider map of artists under current and historical consideration.

Signal report

Why This Forecast Works

Researched through 2026-09-22. Unknown or unverified fields are intentionally not guessed.

  • Historical appearances: 2016.
  • Research-only library record. It is intentionally excluded from scoring and the public Top 100 until current evidence is reviewed.
  • Researched through 2026-09-22. Unknown or unverified fields are intentionally not guessed.
  • Batch 10 research cutoff: 2026-09-22.
  • Atlanta timing: NONE_FOUND
  • Current release/touring/festival research completed. Positive conditions are source-backed; absence statements mean no qualifying current/2027 evidence was verified in this pass.
  • Current-activity batch 01 research gaps now: Verify image credit/rights metadata; Verify management; Verify record label.
  • Research Batch 01 (PARTIAL): Management, label, and current release evidence were reviewed. Colin Meloy solo dates are not attributed to the band.
  • Research Batch 01 remaining fields: image_credit.

Forecast factors

Pressure Breakdown

This is the weighted case behind the ranking. It explains where the Forecast Index comes from without pretending the number is a literal probability.

  • Agency relationship+4

    CAA has a meaningful recent Shaky/C3 footprint.

  • Active Cycle+1

    Correlated activity evidence is bundled with diminishing returns: release (1).

  • Shaky genre fit+3

    Historical Shaky Knees performer awaiting current artist, touring, and genre-fit research.

  • Returner sweet spot+3

    The Decemberists last played in 2016, which sits in the ideal return window.

Forecast Index: 11

Routing map

Festival Fronts

  • No festival fronts are currently on the desk.

Release climate

Music Weather

Album

Live Home Library Vol. I

Status

2026 Album

Release

Aug 7, 2026

2027 Touring

No confirmed 2027 North American tour is currently on the desk

Apple Music lists Live Home Library Vol. I as an August 7, 2026 release, ℗ 2026 YABB Records.

Forecast Impact

+1 release-climate points

The Decemberists carry verified new-music momentum, which helps explain why the forecast keeps them active in the 2027 booking conversation.

The Decemberists — Research Batch 01 release evidence
  • No tour conditions are currently on the desk.

Historical conditions

Shaky History

Past appearances2016

Receipts

Sources

These are the receipts behind this ranking. Each source is tagged by what it contributes to the case.