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The Neighbourhood photographed together in a black-and-white poolside band portrait.

Current conditions

#48 The Neighbourhood

Headliner • 11°TEMPERATURE

The Neighbourhood grade out well because of agency relationship, active cycle, shaky genre fit. There are no major penalty conditions dragging the profile down at the moment.

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Genre Fit

2/3

Agency

THE·TEAM

Last Shaky

Never

Festival Fronts

0

Booking outlook

Arena-scale alternative act in a major 2026 comeback/world-tour cycle.

Artist Bio

The Neighbourhood are associated with Newbury Park, California and formed in 2011 and fronted by Jesse Rutherford. Their music is known for moody alternative rock mixing indie, R&B, hip-hop production, and atmospheric pop. their 2013 debut I Love You. included the global hit “Sweater Weather,” and later records such as Wiped Out! and Chip Chrome & the Mono-Tones broadened their sound. Across their career, the project has built its reputation through a combination of recorded work and live performance, making them a recognizable presence in the alternative, rock, or festival world relevant to this forecast.

Credit: Cameron McCool — official Warner Records press photo

Signal report

Why This Forecast Works

Arena-scale alternative act in a major 2026 comeback/world-tour cycle.

  • Upper-card to headline-adjacent ceiling
  • Bigger-name discovery candidate with real Top-100 upside. Unknown fields remain unresolved rather than guessed.
  • Discovery Wave 03 research cutoff: 2026-09-22.
  • Atlanta/Southeast timing: State Farm Arena Atlanta Nov. 10, 2026; Orlando Nov. 11; Miami Nov. 12; Nashville Nov. 14.
  • Research Batch 03 (COMPLETE): All three gaps resolved, including replacement with an exact-credit official Warner press image. Comeback and world-tour cycle were passed through existing campaign and touring fields.
  • Research Batch 03: listed research gaps resolved.

Forecast factors

Pressure Breakdown

This is the weighted case behind the ranking. It explains where the Forecast Index comes from without pretending the number is a literal probability.

  • Agency relationship+4

    THE·TEAM has a meaningful recent Shaky/C3 footprint.

  • Bonnaroo 2026 early-cycle signal+1

    Large-scale 2026 routing points to a real return-to-market cycle.

  • Active Cycle+2

    Correlated activity evidence is bundled with diminishing returns: release (2).

  • Shaky genre fit+2

    Arena-scale alternative act in a major 2026 comeback/world-tour cycle.

  • Fresh booking opportunity+2

    Never playing Shaky keeps the booking fresh without losing genre fit.

Forecast Index: 11

Routing map

Festival Fronts

  • No festival fronts are currently on the desk.

Release climate

Music Weather

Album

No title tracked

Status

Unknown

Release

Not announced

2027 Touring

No confirmed 2027 North American tour is currently on the desk

Forecast Impact

+0 release-climate points

This profile does not currently receive any verified release-climate points.

  • World Tour (2026)Confirmed

    THE WOURLD TOUR runs throughout 2026 across North America, Europe, Asia, Australia and New Zealand, with arena-scale dates including TD Garden, Madison Square Garden, The O2, Rogers Arena, Moda Center and Kia Forum.

Historical conditions

Shaky History

Never playedShaky Knees

Receipts

Sources

These are the receipts behind this ranking. Each source is tagged by what it contributes to the case.