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Signal report

Why This Forecast Works

Direct 2026 Shaky booking interest plus confirmed major 2027 festival visibility creates an unusually strong rebooking case.

  • 2026 — BOOKED / WEATHER CANCELLATION / DID NOT PERFORM. No completed-appearance penalty is applied.
  • Research Batch 01 (COMPLETE): Reviewed representation and label evidence fills the listed industry-representation gaps.
  • Research Batch 01: listed research gaps resolved.

Forecast factors

Pressure Breakdown

This is the weighted case behind the ranking. It explains where the Forecast Index comes from without pretending the number is a literal probability.

  • Agency relationship+4

    THE·TEAM has a meaningful recent Shaky/C3 footprint.

  • Shaky Knees 2026 early-cycle signal+4

    Booked for Shaky Knees 2026 but did not perform after the severe-weather evacuation; this is booking evidence, not a completed appearance.

  • Active Cycle+2

    Correlated activity evidence is bundled with diminishing returns: festival (2).

  • Shaky genre fit+3

    The project’s modern alternative, rock, punk, and adjacent festival-fit criteria support a defensible SHAKY FORECAST 27 evaluation.

  • Fresh booking opportunity+2

    Never playing Shaky keeps the booking fresh without losing genre fit.

Forecast Index: 15

Routing map

Festival Fronts

  • No festival fronts are currently on the desk.

Release climate

Music Weather

Album

No title tracked

Status

No Active Album Cycle

Release

Not announced

2027 Touring

No confirmed 2027 North American tour is currently on the desk

September 21 review found no confirmed or expected 2027 studio-release climate to index.

Forecast Impact

+0 release-climate points

This profile does not currently receive any verified release-climate points.

  • No tour conditions are currently on the desk.

Historical conditions

Shaky History

Never playedShaky Knees

Receipts

Sources

These are the receipts behind this ranking. Each source is tagged by what it contributes to the case.