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Signal report

Why This Forecast Works

Keep Jeff Tweedy solo dates separate from Wilco, but exact Wilco-branded Morocco event is confirmed.

  • Historical appearances: 2015.
  • Research-only library record. It is intentionally excluded from scoring and the public Top 100 until current evidence is reviewed.
  • Keep Jeff Tweedy solo dates separate from Wilco, but exact Wilco-branded Morocco event is confirmed.
  • Batch 11 research cutoff: 2026-09-22.
  • Atlanta timing: NONE_FOUND
  • Research Batch 08 (COMPLETE): Representation, label, routing, and an exact official Zoran Orlic press asset are resolved.
  • Research Batch 08: listed research gaps resolved.

Forecast factors

Pressure Breakdown

This is the weighted case behind the ranking. It explains where the Forecast Index comes from without pretending the number is a literal probability.

  • Agency relationship+2

    High Road Touring has a meaningful recent Shaky/C3 footprint.

  • Active Cycle+6

    Correlated activity evidence is bundled with diminishing returns: release (4), touring (1), festival (1).

  • Shaky genre fit+3

    Historical Shaky Knees performer awaiting current artist, touring, and genre-fit research.

  • Returner sweet spot+3

    Wilco last played in 2015, which sits in the ideal return window.

Forecast Index: 14

Routing map

Festival Fronts

  • No festival fronts are currently on the desk.

Release climate

Music Weather

Album

No title tracked

Status

Unknown

Release

Not announced

2027 Touring

No confirmed 2027 North American tour is currently on the desk

Forecast Impact

+0 release-climate points

This profile does not currently receive any verified release-climate points.

  • World Tour (2027)Confirmed

    Confirmed Wilco in Morocco event Mar. 25-27, 2027.

Historical conditions

Shaky History

Past appearances2015

Receipts

Sources

These are the receipts behind this ranking. Each source is tagged by what it contributes to the case.